Why the government still pays heed to the Greens

This time last year a rift opened between Labour and the Greens. It dogged them through the election campaign and docked votes from both.

For the Greens, it also wiped hopes of cabinet seats. It meant less influence, since Labour can get a majority without them.

The rift was over genetic modification (GM) and was triggered by the Greens’ well-foreshadowed (but nevertheless surprising to Labour) walkout on the bill which legislated an end this coming October to the moratorium an applications for release of GM organisms. read more

The man who would be (strictly) Keynes

“Practical men…are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.” So said John Maynard Keynes, the hugely influential twentieth century economic theorist. Well, meet slave Michael Cullen.

A few weeks back Cullen declared: “The fundamental philosophy underlying my approach to fiscal management has been a simple but strict form of keynesianism.” read more

Making welfare work in the troubled 2000s

Times change. In 1953 the state could readily afford to finance 1940s Labour Prime Minister Peter Fraser’s noble aim that each person should have “free” education to the “fullest extent of his [sic] powers”.

Then only a very few wanted or needed to go to university. Most occupational training was on the job, not at polytechnics. Now tens of thousands go to universities and likewise to polytechnics. The state could afford to make this “free” only by raising taxes or cutting other activities. So there are fees. National is toying with rationing university places with higher academic entry hurdles. read more

Yet another RMA amendment coming

This week another Resource Management bill is due to reach the House, promoting renewable energy and energy efficiency. But yet another is in the mill — aimed at taking a tinge off business’s sourness about the act.

This third bill will underline the growing concern in the cabinet that some of its policy settings may be discouraging business investment, particularly by large foreign companies which can, and do, put their money elsewhere. read more

Trad Labour plus prudence and skill

Traditional Labour, within the constraints of prudent budgeting and with genuflections to a high-skill economy: that’s Michael Cullen’s fourth Budget.

And, in case you haven’t got the message by now he made two strong points at his press conference:

* On present projections he will have an additional $500 million or so to spend next year and that is earmarked for tax credits for low-income families and assisting beneficiaries into work. read more

A Labour cabinet basking in the afternoon sun

The government sails into its Budget on Thursday with a near-sublime confidence.

That is about to fade. The astonishing congruence of rain, prices and a low dollar has reversed and SARS, an electricity shortage and persistent sogginess in the world economy have darkened the future.

So Michael Cullen has told ministers to hold tight for another year. He and the Prime Minister (both fiscal dries) want to be sure the surpluses are sustainable before spending them. read more

Look to next year's Budget

Incrementalism rules, OK. That is Thursday’s Budget. Health gobbles up its large annual dollop but otherwise it is a little bit here and a little bit there, with an accent on “innovation” and research. Very Michael Cullen. Very Helen Clark.

A “stable and certain fiscal policy”, as Cullen put it to Labour party faithful early this month, is one of his “three key principles” and central to this government’s pitch for credibility with investors. read more

Where has the big tough National party gone?

The once potent National party has fallen to this: cowering behind a curtain to talk policy. This month it has banned the media from such discussions at its regional conferences.

Such tremulousness in a party which pretends to run the country after September 2005! Even during the awful Muldoon years a quarter-century ago, when much of the party was in rebellion, it did not close its debates — and righteously scorned Labour’s periodic proclivity for privacy. read more

Where is the drive to save energy?

No sooner will the government get its highly controversial changes to the Resource Management Act (RMA) through than it will back on the job — this time to add energy efficiency as a national priority. As we head towards our cold showers, this may prompt a wry comment or two.

This change, which Energy Minister Pete Hodgson foreshadowed in February, is linked to an other change designed to discourage local authority politicians from blocking windpower and other renewable energy schemes for aesthetic and other reasons. Hodgson wants windfarms and is doling out Kyoto “promissory notes” to get them. read more

How to spend those big surpluses

There is a large fiscal surplus. Or is there? That question hangs over this month’s budget. Or rather, next year’s.

The lid stays on for now, more or less. Helen Clark has been spooked by the British Labour government’s plight: spending programmes committed on forecasts of economic growth and revenue which have not materialised. read more